COURSE OVERVIEW
The growth in financial instruments during the last decade has resulted in a significant development of econometric methods (financial econometrics) applied to financial data. The objective of our Factor Models & Risk Management Tools course is to provide participants with a comprehensive overview of the principal methodologies, both theoretical and applied, adopted for risk analysis and risk management. To this end, the course focuses on the implementation of both factor models and principal components analysis for the identification of specific asset, country and global risk factors and on risk management tools/measures.
TARGET AUDIENCE
The course is of particular interest to: i) Master and Ph.D. Students and researchers in public and private research centres, and ii) professionals employed in risk management in the following sectors: asset management, exchange rate and market risk analysis, front office and research in investment banking and insurance, needing to acquire the necessary econometric/statistical toolset to independently conduct an empirical analysis of financial risk.
PREREQUISITE
Participants should have a knowledge of the inferential statistics and introductory econometric methods illustrated in Brooks (2019).
PROGRAM
SESSION I: FACTOR MODELS
Static and dynamic factors, factor estimation, determining the number of factors, nonstationary factor models;
Identifying global, asset related and country specific factors in data with a large number of assets with principal component analysis and static and dynamic factor models;
Applications of factor analysis to (bond and asset) portfolio management, stock liquidity and its determinants.
SESSIONS II: RISK MANAGEMENT TOOLS
Porfolio Value-at-Risk (VaR):
definitions
Approaches for estimating VaR:
Parametric VaR, Historical simulation VaR
Monte Carlo VaR
Expected Shortfall (ES) and Tail Risk (TR)
Backtesting procedures:
Unconditional coverage
Independence
Conditional coverage
Duration based tests of independence
SUGGESTED READING (PRE – AND POST-COURSE)
Introductory Econometrics for Finance, Brooks, C., (2019). Cambridge University Press, 4th edition.
Financial Econometrics Using Stata. Boffelli, S., and G. Urga (2016). Stata Press Publication.